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Amount of Unsold Inventory in the Bangkok Downtown Continues to Fall

By on Oct 07, 2013 in Research

Bangkok Residential MarketView Q2 2013Bangkok Residential MarketView Q2 2013

In the Bangkok condominium market, we see a clear split between the downtown market and the midtown/suburban market with different market dynamics, sizes and quality emerge. The downtown market consists of projects at higher prices while the midtown/suburban market is a mainly a mass market made up of one bedroom units.

New supply has continued to increase with approximately 17,000 units completed in the downtown and  midtown markets this quarter.

Total midtown and downtown supply is now approximately 350,000 units where the majority of supply is in the midtown area and the market for downtown condominiums is now a low volume high value market.

The amount of unsold inventory in the downtown continues to fall significantly and prices are rising for the best quality downtown completed projects and for the best located new downtown launches. Developers who want to achieve high prices have to convince buyers that their projects really do offer a higher quality and only the best located, best designed projects with high specifications will succeed.

There is a renewed interest from foreign investors accounting for just over 20% of demand for downtown Bangkok condominiums with an increasing proportion of Asian buyers.

We have concerns about the midtown and suburban condominium market. The Bank of Thailand has warned banks to be more cautious in their lending to this sector but as yet has not lowered the loan to value requirements and the government has not imposed additional transaction taxes like Hongkong and Singapore.

There will be a record level of midtown and suburban condominium completions this year. Developers will be competing to clear unsold inventory with speculators who wish to resell before completion and the need to make final payment, in many cases 80-90% of the total price.

We expect that this will result in a slowdown in new launches and an exit of speculators from the market. A market  dominated by end users will mean that new projects will have to be both attractive and affordable. This is likely to result in a mixed performance for new mid market/suburban condominium launches and a big push by developers to clear unsold inventory in both completed and under construction developments.

This is an extract from Bangkok Residential MarketView Q2 2013, click to download the full report.

Toby has been living in Bangkok for a number of years and has a strong research background. With his years in Thailand Toby brings a wide range of property knowledge to his research writing

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